Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001415 0.001502 0.001591 0.001690 0.001796 0.001907 0.002033
2025-02-16 0.001321 0.001447 0.001583 0.001739 0.001915 0.002108 0.002335
2025-02-23 0.001221 0.001370 0.001535 0.001730 0.001958 0.002217 0.002533
2025-03-02 0.001124 0.001285 0.001467 0.001688 0.001953 0.002262 0.002652
2025-03-09 0.001052 0.001221 0.001416 0.001660 0.001957 0.002313 0.002774
2025-03-16 0.001003 0.001182 0.001391 0.001657 0.001989 0.002395 0.002934
2025-03-23 0.000954 0.001138 0.001357 0.001640 0.002000 0.002449 0.003060
2025-03-30 0.000917 0.001105 0.001334 0.001634 0.002023 0.002517 0.003205
2025-04-06 0.000875 0.001065 0.001299 0.001611 0.002022 0.002552 0.003305
2025-04-13 0.000835 0.001027 0.001265 0.001586 0.002015 0.002579 0.003393
2025-04-20 0.000787 0.000975 0.001211 0.001532 0.001968 0.002547 0.003398
2025-04-27 0.000769 0.000961 0.001205 0.001541 0.002004 0.002630 0.003567
2025-05-04 0.000750 0.000947 0.001200 0.001555 0.002052 0.002737 0.003785
2025-05-11 0.000746 0.000953 0.001223 0.001608 0.002156 0.002930 0.004143
2025-05-18 0.000721 0.000930 0.001205 0.001602 0.002177 0.003003 0.004325
2025-05-25 0.000687 0.000892 0.001165 0.001564 0.002149 0.003002 0.004392
2025-06-01 0.000659 0.000862 0.001135 0.001538 0.002137 0.003023 0.004494
2025-06-08 0.000640 0.000844 0.001121 0.001536 0.002159 0.003096 0.004683
2025-06-15 0.000619 0.000822 0.001100 0.001520 0.002160 0.003137 0.004820
2025-06-22 0.000602 0.000805 0.001086 0.001515 0.002177 0.003201 0.005000
2025-06-29 0.000582 0.000782 0.001062 0.001494 0.002168 0.003225 0.005110
2025-07-06 0.000562 0.000760 0.001038 0.001471 0.002154 0.003239 0.005205
2025-07-13 0.000535 0.000727 0.000998 0.001423 0.002098 0.003181 0.005167